Matchday One: trends vs Southampton

In the past 20 seasons, Liverpool is 10-7-3 on opening day, 4-2-1 at home.  The Reds have scored 29 goals overall, but only 8 at home, allowed 20 overall, though only 5 as hosts.  At Anfield, they've won 1-0 three times & 2-1 once. Against opponents that finished lower on the Prem table than them the previous season, they are 10-2-7 overall and undefeated at home, 4-1-0.

Southampton is 6-9-5 in their past 20 opening day fixtures, 4-5-1 on the road. They've scored 20 goals, 10 on the road, allowed 30, 15 as visitors.  The Saints have either allowed multiple goals or shut-out their opponents away from St. Mary's, drawing 0-0 against West Brom in 2003 and beating Coventry 1-0 in 1999.  They've drawn 2-2 three times, twice against Derby County.  Overall, they are 2-3-6 against opponents that finished higher on the table the previous season, 1-1-3 away from home.

Liverpool is 13-6-7 head-to-head against Southampton overall in the past 20 seasons.  They've met just once before in week one with Liverpool winning 2-1 at St. Mary's in 1998.  Liverpool leads the series, 7-3-3 at Anfield, though the Saints won there last season, 1-0.  Jamie Carragher scored one of his four career league goals against Southampton in a 7-1 drubbing of the Saints in January 1999.

The previous season second-place finisher is 16-3-1 at home versus the previous season eighth-place finisher.  The only time the lower finishing club has beaten the higher is in 1997, when Wimbledon beat Newcastle, 3-1.  Only once in the past 20 seasons have the second place finisher from the previous season hosted the previous season eighth-place finisher in the opening week, in 2008 when Chelsea beat Pompey, 4-0.

The demise of Southampton has been well over-exaggerated, they have added Dušan Tadić, who I've written about before, and Graziano Pellè, who finished second in goals scored in the Eredivisie last season.  They are probably upgrades of Lallana and Lambert and Lovren's spot will most likely be filled by Maya Yoshida or Jos Hooiveld.  Even losing Schneiderlin, if it happens, won't be that much of a loss with James Ward-Prose getting more pitch time.  As long as they have Fonte, Davis, Wanyama, Cork, and Ward-Prowse, they are going to be hard to score against, and Gaston Ramirez, who was more efficient than Lallana last year, will finally get the chance to prove his worth.