Here are the most difficult schedules according to opponent's attack efficiency:
team | opp ape |
Liverpool | 0.66872 |
Leicester | 0.65853 |
Burnley | 0.65069 |
C Palace | 0.62751 |
WBA | 0.61973 |
I didn't even factor in home field advantage, which would more than likely pad Liverpool's lead at the top of the table considering they have played at City and at Spurs. In the end though, it is a non-factor since all clubs will have played each other home and away, but I will probably start factoring it in after match day five.
The least difficult schedules?
club | opp ape |
Arsenal | 0.52008 |
Hull City | 0.53570 |
Chelsea | 0.54696 |
Newcastle | 0.55131 |
Tottenham | 0.57160 |
Arsenal, far and away, have had the easiest walk in the park, but have only managed 5 points in 3 matches. Is Hull relegation bound? Their second half against Villa suggests not, but they still lost and their schedule just gets harder from here on out.
So here are the adjusted defensive rankings:
club | adj dpe |
Liverpool | 0.93203 |
Burnley | 0.93190 |
Stoke | 0.90287 |
Man U | 0.87822 |
Leicester | 0.87333 |
Burnley and Leicester are here on strength of schedule and the fact that two of their first three matches have been at home. Stoke is apparently the real deal as they showed at City Saturday and Man U is basically here because they dominated two crap sides, only managing draws though, and lost to a somewhat decent Swansea attack.
Worst defences:
club | adj dpe |
Aston Villa | 0.798 |
Swansea | 0.805 |
Hull City | 0.806 |
Tottenham | 0.810 |
Newcastle | 0.816 |
Villa come to Anfield next and if LFC take them seriously, it should be a route.
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