Showing posts with label Mourinho. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Mourinho. Show all posts

Sunday, July 13, 2014

Is Romelu Lukaku worth £26m?

Recent rumours have LFC linked to Chelsea striker, Romelu Lukaku.  The 21-year-old Belgian has spent the last two seasons out on loan, first at West Brom and last season at Everton. Let's look at his output from those campaigns:
Everton 2013-14
npgp90gcp90ccp90ap90ccv
0.530.741.130.2118.8
pass%bp%sacc%shot%TTI90
66.553.345.915.311.1
gap90gsp90gop90tgopgopd90
1.061.90.840.580.26

West Brom 2012-13
npgp90gcp90ccp90ap90ccv
0.670.941.610.1811.1
pass%bp%sacc%shot%TTI90
72.157.648.517.515
gap90gsp90gop90tgopgopd90
1.81.7-0.1-0.10

Everton finished 5th last season, while WBA ended up 8th in 2012-13, though the difference between 7th, where Liverpool placed that year, was 12 pts and a 32 goal difference, the second largest point gap next to 19th and 20th, and the largest goal difference by much distance.  Lukaku scored 32.1% of goals and was responsible for 39.6% of goals scored for West Brom, while he had part in 24.6% and 34.4% respectively for Everton last season.

The improvement in his chance created value and turnover rate are probably signs of both growth and being surrounded by more capable teammates, which, if he came to Liverpool, would be the case once again.  His passing rate is a bit worrisome though, but in the few matches he has played for Chelsea, his percentage was 81.2%, which is significantly better.  Why it decreased from WBA to Everton could also be due to the fact that he passed it backward less.

Is he worth £26m though? Well, given his age, physical capabilities, and skills, absolutely.  In fact, that could wind up being a bargain.  I don't think he'll ever be a world class talent, but I can see him scoring 20-25 goals for a lot of seasons to come.  If I were Mourinho, I'd send Torres packing and start playing Lukaku, but you never know with the 'Special One'.

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