It has officially become a two horse race. Sure, Spurs, Chelsea, and even the Gunners could go on a run, but in the end, it will take a significant collapse by City and LFC to allow those clubs back in the hunt for the PL title. Probably not going to happen. City is on pace to bank 104 points, while LFC is on track for 99, neither will probably end up with those totals, but it is most likely safe to say they will end up one and two. The greatest factor is, barring injuries, the remaining schedule.
I cannot stand when people try to claim that strength of schedule is not a factor in the PL. Yes, every team plays one another twice, once at home and once on the road, but when these matches are played is very important as well. It is better to play tougher opponents earlier in the schedule or after rest periods, especially away. Almost any opponent on the road is going to be tough as it is.
So far this season, City has played seven out of fifteen matches on the road. Liverpool have only played eight, but it is still one more match that they are more likely to get 3 points. City has played Arsenal, Tottenham, and LFC away, earning an impressive 7 points, with the only non-win being at Anfield. They were lucky to play the Gunners on the opening round, now I doubt they would have gotten away with a similar 2-0 result since Arsenal has improved significantly. That is also a factor, some clubs get better as the season progressives and Arsenal, Everton, Brighton, Newcastle, and West Ham have all showed improvement since the beginning. This also means that City have yet to play at Chelsea and United, which I'm hoping the latter is actually a contest. I don't think I have ever cheered United on, it will be painful, but I have to do so if I hope for the league title. Liverpool have played at Spurs, Chelsea, and at Gunners, earning 5 points. They had the misfortune of playing an improved Gunners side in week 11 and honestly, they were lucky to come away with a point.
Neither LFC nor City have played any significant opponents at home other than themselves at Anfield, so those fixtures are probably must wins for the Reds if they have any aspirations to win the league. City have yet to host Liverpool, which has to be considered the most important fixture left. A win would be monumental, but a draw is probably the best to hope for. They play on January 3rd.
If we look at remaining fixtures, who has the tougher schedule? The hardest fixtures left for Liverpool are home to United (12/16), at City (1/3), at United (2/23), at Everton (2/3), home to Spurs (4/6), and home to Chelsea (4/13). City has at Chelsea (12/8), home to LFC (1/3), home to Arsenal (2/2), home to Chelsea (2/9), at Everton (2/23), at United (3/16), and home to Spurs (4/20). That leaves Liverpool with one less 'hardest' fixture and a potential six point swing, though that is optimistic.
Between the two sides, City really only have the only bad result with a draw at Wolves, so lets look at the potential 'upsets'. Liverpool very well could lose or concede points at Bournemouth in two days (they are sixth in the league after all), at West Ham (2/2),at Wolves (12/21), and at Newcastle (5/4). I highly doubt points will be lost at Newcastle, but karma (Rafa) may come into play. City have home to Everton (12/15), at Newcastle (1/29), and at Bournemouth (3/2). Liverpool have it a little rougher with these mid-table/trending fixtures, but we are really only talking maybe a two-point margin.
Finally, the other onerous factor is schedule congestion with regards to opponent strength. City has to play at Chelsea, Leicester, and Southampton, and home to Everton, CP, Liverpool in a 35 day period between 1/8 and 2/3. They play their toughest matches first (at Chelsea) and last (home to Liverpool), with only one 'challenging' in between (at Everton). Meanwhile, LFC have to play away to Bournemouth, Wolverhampton, and City, and at home to United, Newcastle, and Arsenal. Liverpool clearly have a tougher schedule during this period.
There is also Champions League, FA Cup, and League Cup fixtures to consider, but based on just the PL schedule, Liverpool have a slight advantage though it will take a at least one significant upset on City's part and a perfect LFC run to win the league. I don't want to say anything is impossible though.
Showing posts with label Man U. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Man U. Show all posts
Thursday, December 6, 2018
Tuesday, September 9, 2014
Barton is right, Welbeck is a better 'team' player than Sturridge, but...
...he's no where near as good a striker nor talented footballer. Unfortunately, when someone as controversial as Joey Barton makes such revelations, they are immediately dismissed and then buried under a slew of ad hominem recoil. It also doesn't help that he is terrible at proving his points. Applauding goals that could have easily been scored by most any striker with the kind of service Welbeck received last night proves nothing, especially that he is a good 'team' player.
The two biggest differences between Sturridge and Welbeck is that the former is a brilliant scorer/goal-creator while the latter is a more complete footballer, though not close to a brilliant level. The former Man U forward is merely average on attack, he will never be spectacular, not even at Arsenal were he'll be spoon-fed goal opportunities. He is one of the better defensive forwards, stifles counters before they can come to fruition and gets back for support. Last season he posted a defensive possession efficiency of 0.636, much better than an attack-first forward like Sturridge, who had a 0.541 dpe.
Welbeck is a better overall passer as well, posting an 87.4% completion rate last season compared to Sturridge who managed a 79.3%. When it comes to assists and chances created, Welbeck pales in comparison. Sturridge had 7 assists and 29 chances created compared to Welbeck who had 1 and 13 respectively. The Liverpool forward did play 800 more minutes, 55.2% more than his United counterpart, but last time I checked, that doesn't equate 7 to 1.
Sturridge creates and scores goals at a world-class rate, while Welbeck does not. Sturridge scored 0.83 goals and created 1.11 per 90 minutes last season, Welbeck averaged 0.55 and 0.62, not even close. It sort of makes me scratch my head that Arsenal bought him, but I guess they were desperate. They, like every other unbiased, somewhat intelligent manager would take Sturridge over Welbeck in a second. No, he's not a better team player, but I'll take his goal created a match since it's much more likely to help the team win opposed to a tackle or clearance in midfield.
The two biggest differences between Sturridge and Welbeck is that the former is a brilliant scorer/goal-creator while the latter is a more complete footballer, though not close to a brilliant level. The former Man U forward is merely average on attack, he will never be spectacular, not even at Arsenal were he'll be spoon-fed goal opportunities. He is one of the better defensive forwards, stifles counters before they can come to fruition and gets back for support. Last season he posted a defensive possession efficiency of 0.636, much better than an attack-first forward like Sturridge, who had a 0.541 dpe.
Welbeck is a better overall passer as well, posting an 87.4% completion rate last season compared to Sturridge who managed a 79.3%. When it comes to assists and chances created, Welbeck pales in comparison. Sturridge had 7 assists and 29 chances created compared to Welbeck who had 1 and 13 respectively. The Liverpool forward did play 800 more minutes, 55.2% more than his United counterpart, but last time I checked, that doesn't equate 7 to 1.
Sturridge creates and scores goals at a world-class rate, while Welbeck does not. Sturridge scored 0.83 goals and created 1.11 per 90 minutes last season, Welbeck averaged 0.55 and 0.62, not even close. It sort of makes me scratch my head that Arsenal bought him, but I guess they were desperate. They, like every other unbiased, somewhat intelligent manager would take Sturridge over Welbeck in a second. No, he's not a better team player, but I'll take his goal created a match since it's much more likely to help the team win opposed to a tackle or clearance in midfield.
Saturday, September 6, 2014
'Special' accommodations & menu items of Giggsy and Gazzo's Hotel Football uncovered
Man United fans are in for a real treat this December when Hotel Football opens next to Old Trafford. The 138-bed, 10-story hotel will be the first of hopefully many for Ryan Giggs and Gary Neville's business, GG Hospitality. The two former Red Devils have traveled the world extensively and stayed in many a hotel, especially Giggs who has lived in one recently. According to their website, their experiences have given them 'an innate understanding of what works and what doesn't' in the hospitality trade.
The press blitz for the new venture started awhile back, but what you will never find in an advert, brochure, or even press packet are the 'secret' special accommodations and menu items only available for those 'in the know'. I came across these revelations when I infiltrated 3 past 3, the secret society for former Manchester United players. Posing as Paul Parker, I attended a 'meeting' where I had in-depth conversations about the new venue with Nicky Butt and Paul Scholes. They let me in on some interesting features that won't be available to the general public at the hotel.
What I found most endearing was the apparent man-love former players have for Johnny Evans. There will be a secret suite named in his honor where, as it was put to me, 'you can get away with anything'. I have no idea what they were implying there. There will also be a special drink named for him called the 'GoHnny Bevans' (pronounced 'Johnny Bevans'), an interesting spelling nonetheless, but it's apparently a knock-out with the ladies and really gets them in the mood.
The penthouse suite will be covertly named 'the house Dwight Yorke built'. It will be the only personally-staffed suite with a minimally-dressed 'servant' (woman or man, your choice) and a bartender (again gender choice, shirt-optional). Along with it's own 8-seat bar, this suite will also feature a jacuzzi and a 'secret' bathroom called the 'Rooney' room which will feature 'all the latest technologies for your pleasure'. A personally written note from the United striker is given to each guest.
For those who can afford it, a massage therapist will be available 24 hours a day, either by room visit or in the Tommy Docherty office located in the basement. There will also be an extensive security system with hundreds of cameras strategically placed through out the facility. The room housing the nearly sixty monitors for those cameras is named after former club chairman Martin Edwards, a man who is known for his remarkable peeping abilities. A concierge who is knowledgeable of all the local entertainment including a non-age discriminate 'companionship' service recommended by Wayne Rooney, will also be available and on call at all hours.
Special secret menu items at the Cafe Football include a pie called the Zaha, 'so good it'll be like shagging your manager's daughter', and the Anderson, a prawn delicacy that'll disappear so fast 'you'll never realize how much it cost.' Special drinks include 'the Ferguson' which will, according to David Moyes, 'turn your nose red and leave you a mess to deal with', as well as the 'Van Gaal' which apparently makes you regret things you do and say almost immediately.
Now that I'm in the know, I can't wait to stay there. Hopefully I'll get a room close to Giggsy.
The press blitz for the new venture started awhile back, but what you will never find in an advert, brochure, or even press packet are the 'secret' special accommodations and menu items only available for those 'in the know'. I came across these revelations when I infiltrated 3 past 3, the secret society for former Manchester United players. Posing as Paul Parker, I attended a 'meeting' where I had in-depth conversations about the new venue with Nicky Butt and Paul Scholes. They let me in on some interesting features that won't be available to the general public at the hotel.
What I found most endearing was the apparent man-love former players have for Johnny Evans. There will be a secret suite named in his honor where, as it was put to me, 'you can get away with anything'. I have no idea what they were implying there. There will also be a special drink named for him called the 'GoHnny Bevans' (pronounced 'Johnny Bevans'), an interesting spelling nonetheless, but it's apparently a knock-out with the ladies and really gets them in the mood.
The penthouse suite will be covertly named 'the house Dwight Yorke built'. It will be the only personally-staffed suite with a minimally-dressed 'servant' (woman or man, your choice) and a bartender (again gender choice, shirt-optional). Along with it's own 8-seat bar, this suite will also feature a jacuzzi and a 'secret' bathroom called the 'Rooney' room which will feature 'all the latest technologies for your pleasure'. A personally written note from the United striker is given to each guest.
For those who can afford it, a massage therapist will be available 24 hours a day, either by room visit or in the Tommy Docherty office located in the basement. There will also be an extensive security system with hundreds of cameras strategically placed through out the facility. The room housing the nearly sixty monitors for those cameras is named after former club chairman Martin Edwards, a man who is known for his remarkable peeping abilities. A concierge who is knowledgeable of all the local entertainment including a non-age discriminate 'companionship' service recommended by Wayne Rooney, will also be available and on call at all hours.
Special secret menu items at the Cafe Football include a pie called the Zaha, 'so good it'll be like shagging your manager's daughter', and the Anderson, a prawn delicacy that'll disappear so fast 'you'll never realize how much it cost.' Special drinks include 'the Ferguson' which will, according to David Moyes, 'turn your nose red and leave you a mess to deal with', as well as the 'Van Gaal' which apparently makes you regret things you do and say almost immediately.
Now that I'm in the know, I can't wait to stay there. Hopefully I'll get a room close to Giggsy.
Thursday, September 4, 2014
Ballotelli business better than Man United & Falcao
I will probably never be happy that Mario Balotelli is part of our club. Three years from now, if he's still a productive member of the squad, I'll eat my words, but his track record speaks for itself. He grows tired of his manager, the staff, his teammates, club officials, the press and the supporters and starts acting out in the third year. It happened at Inter, it happened at City, and most recently, it happened at Milan, where they got rid of him before he became a cancer. If he breaks the cycle, great, but don't hold your breathe. Let's not wait like City did, if he starts costing us matches by his behavior either on or off the pitch, I hope whomever in charge, hopefully Rodgers, puts him in the reserves dungeon and throws away the key until he can be shipped off elsewhere. Madrid will probably come knocking by then anyhow.
No matter how it plays out though, £17.6m to sign Balotelli is a much better deal than acquiring Falcao on a year-long loan for £6.7m plus £10m salary and an option to buy him at the end of the season for an additional £40m. Super Mario is basically a younger, faster, stronger, and more skilled verison of Falcao. If anyone complains, like myself, that all Ballotelli can do is score goals, well, Falcao can only score less. Plus the Italian can physically impose himself on the opposition and worry their defence to no end, creating space for teammates. I don't see the 177cm (5'10"), 72kg (160lb) Colombian with no Premier League experience having much presence, wait until they play Stoke.
Their career club league stats are quite comparable:
No matter how it plays out though, £17.6m to sign Balotelli is a much better deal than acquiring Falcao on a year-long loan for £6.7m plus £10m salary and an option to buy him at the end of the season for an additional £40m. Super Mario is basically a younger, faster, stronger, and more skilled verison of Falcao. If anyone complains, like myself, that all Ballotelli can do is score goals, well, Falcao can only score less. Plus the Italian can physically impose himself on the opposition and worry their defence to no end, creating space for teammates. I don't see the 177cm (5'10"), 72kg (160lb) Colombian with no Premier League experience having much presence, wait until they play Stoke.
Their career club league stats are quite comparable:
| npg90 | ap90 | gc90 | cc90 | ccv | pass% | sacc% | shot% | sdr90 | tti90 | gopd | |
| Balotelli | 0.47 | 0.14 | 0.77 | 1.33 | 0.1 | 0.757 | 0.382 | 0.121 | 2.14 | 14.6 | -0.46 |
| Falcao | 0.57 | 0.08 | 0.75 | 0.90 | 0.05 | 0.797 | 0.492 | 0.305 | 0.79 | 11.21 | 0.06 |
First things first, Falcao is four-and-a-half years older than Super Mario. Which means he's probably at his peak and won't improve much more, not to mention he'll have to make the adjustments for the English game. Quick, name a 28-year-old South American and/or La Liga player who came to the Premier League and made a significant impact? Don't even try to say Valencia, he's been in the league for eight years now. The closest is probably Coloccini, but he was 26 when he signed with Newcastle and he's a defender. Maybe Falcao will make history, but I doubt it.
Mario is a better team player and that says mountains, since we all know what kind of a 'team player' he is. The thing is, Balotelli has the ability to be a great asset to the club as a whole, while I don't think Falcao has the capacity to do so, because if he did, he would have already done so with Porto or Atletico or Monaco. He has never been a significant 'defending forward' and forget about setting up others on goal. When Balotelli cares and tries, which honestly, this is his last chance to do so before he becomes a true pariah, he is eons better than his Colombian counterpart.
In the end, it won't matter though. If Falcao scores goals and does nothing else, even have the worst efficiency in the league, the Mangoloids won't care. I honestly think the EPL is too physical for him and can see an injury-riddled season where he gets sent packing back to Monaco in the end.
(Oh and just a quick point because I can see it coming, 16 of Falcao's last 63 league goals since joining La Liga have been penalties compared to 15 of 55 for Balotelli, so save that rubbish for your pub trash bin banter.)
Wednesday, August 27, 2014
Man United the third most efficient attacking side in the Premiership? Afraid so, but...
Most efficient attacking sides in the EPL:
| ape | |
| Man City | 0.700 |
| Tottenham | 0.698 |
| Man U | 0.690 |
| Arsenal | 0.674 |
| Chelsea | 0.669 |
City and Tottenham are not surprising here, but ManU at third? Really? Well two things play into this, first the quality of their opponents. Home against Swansea and at Sunderland are not very tough 'tests', the latter is eighth best in defensive efficiency so far, but they got a boost from playing West Brom. The Cardiff club is second to last in defensive efficiency and will probably have to rely more and more on scoring goals to keep up with opponents.
Second, United are actually decent at passing and lead the league in completion percentage at 87.3%. They play at Burnley next week, so expect them to continue their competency, but once the meat of their schedule begins, their numbers should 'level out'.
Liverpool stand 6th, by the way.
Most efficient defensive sides in the EPL:
| dpe | |
| Stoke | 0.366 |
| Chelsea | 0.350 |
| Arsenal | 0.318 |
| West Ham | 0.310 |
| Hull City | 0.278 |
Stoke shouldn't be much of a surprise here considering their defence-oriented style of play and the fact that their first two opponents this season are currently the 17th (Hull) and 19th (Aston Villa) most efficient attacks. Let's see how they fair at City this weekend before we pass judgement.
Liverpool currently sit 11th.
Most efficient overall:
| per | |
| Chelsea | 1.019 |
| Arsenal | 0.992 |
| Stoke | 0.974 |
| Man U | 0.943 |
| Tottenham | 0.936 |
| Man City | 0.933 |
| Liverpool | 0.897 |
Before anyone loses the plot, this measures 'efficiency', there is no 'extra' value given to goals nor to defensive errors that lead to goals. It will even out as the season continues and opponents become more common. The fact that Man U isn't at or near the top of the table after two matches against less-than-mediocre opposition says plenty.
Team stat stand-outs
- West Ham are the king of the crosses with a by far league best 19 successful at an also impressive 39.6% rate. West Brom has completed the second most with 12 and Sunderland is the second most efficient at 29.0%.
- Stoke have been dominant in the air. The Potters have won the most duels (59) at the highest success rate (65.6%).
- West Brom has been 'dispossessed' 44 times, 15 more than the next nearest club, which is surprisingly Man City.
- Aston Villa has one shot on goal in 15 attempts, it also resulted in their only goal by Andreas Weimann.
- Chelsea lead the league in goals scored, chances created, shots-on-goal, and successful dribbles.
- Stoke and Hull lead the league with 94 clearances a piece, 20 more than any other club.
Thursday, August 21, 2014
Dejan Lovren is the most efficient player in the EPL thus far
Individual Stats Leaders after Week One
Top ten most efficient in possession players:
- Joey Barton lead all players with 6 chances created.
- Mikel Arteta lead all players with 100 completed passes on 105 attempts (95.2%), Aaron Ramsey was the only other player to break the century mark in pass attempts with 106.
- Asmir Begovic was the only player to play a full match and complete all his pass attempts (23 for 23).
- West Ham's Cheikhou Kouyate lead all outfield players, who played 60 minutes or more, with a 96.9% pass completion rate.
- Mark Noble and Stewart Downing lead all players in successful crosses with 4 each, but Noble took just 6 attempts while Downing needed 10.
- Eden Hazard lead the league in take-ons with 9, Sterling and Cazorla tied for second with 5 apiece.
- Former Arsenal and current QPR left back, Armand Traore, was a very impressive 11 for 11 on aerial duels, making him tops in most won and best success percentage (100%). Southampton's Graziano Pelle won the second most, going 10 for 23 while United's Chris Smalling and Erik Pieters of Stoke were 2nd in efficiency going 7 for 7 each.
- Jack Wilshere won the most fouls with 6.
- England and West Brom's Saido Berahino was the only player to score a penalty and/or a brace, but he also lead in times dispossessed at 7. Raheem Sterling was runner-up with 6 times dispossessed and Daniel Sturridge tied with Aaron Ramsey at four times apiece.
- Adnan Januzaj lead all players with 6 direct turnovers, 2 more than any other player.
- Victor Wanyama and Mile Jedinak had the most successful tackles with 9 each.
- Sunderland's new left-back, Patrick van Aanholt is the league leader in interceptions with 8.
- Martin Skrtel's 19 clearances were enough to edge out Ryan Shawcross by one to lead all players.
- Marouane Chamakh committed 11 fouls, more than twice as many than any other player.
Top ten most efficient in possession players:
| S. Nasri | 0.889 |
| Y. Toure | 0.868 |
| T. Blackett | 0.866 |
| Andy King | 0.852 |
| M. Arteta | 0.850 |
| G. Barry | 0.839 |
| N. Bentaleb | 0.828 |
| V. Kompany | 0.816 |
| J. Olsson | 0.813 |
| G. Obertan | 0.800 |
Leicester's Andy King is a surprising one here. Gerrard came 11th with a ppe of 0.797.
Top ten most efficient defensive players:
| Liam Moore | 0.405 |
| S. Dann | 0.400 |
| Curtis Davies | 0.380 |
| J. Chester | 0.344 |
| M. Jedinak | 0.339 |
| P. van Aanholt | 0.339 |
| B. Hangeland | 0.333 |
| Wes Morgan | 0.319 |
| P. Senderos | 0.297 |
| M. Kelly | 0.295 |
Some solid players (Dann, Davies, Jedinak, & Hangeland) mixed in with some surprises who will probably play their way out of the this category. Former LFC boy Kelly comes in tenth.
The ten most efficient overall:
| D. Lovren | 0.953 |
| L. Koscielny | 0.950 |
| M. Arteta | 0.925 |
| P. Jagielka | 0.922 |
| M. Skrtel | 0.919 |
| V. Kompany | 0.918 |
| J. Chester | 0.918 |
| T. Blackett | 0.918 |
| J. Collins | 0.911 |
| W. Reid | 0.911 |
I was shocked to see Lovren on top here. Skrtel at fifth, not so much, with all the defensive numbers he racked up.
The top ten in effieciency over team average:
| S. Dann | 0.271 |
| J. Chester | 0.254 |
| Ron Vlaar | 0.253 |
| R. Ferdinand | 0.249 |
| David Jones | 0.238 |
| J. Olsson | 0.237 |
| L. Cattermole | 0.232 |
| B. Hangeland | 0.221 |
| D. Lovren | 0.208 |
| J. Collins | 0.207 |
This stat measures a players performance compared to his team's average, for instance, Scott Dann and Brede Hangeland's were the stars on a less than stellar Crystal Palace versus Arsenal.
- Mikel Arteta lead all players with 100 completed passes on 105 attempts (95.2%), Aaron Ramsey was the only other player to break the century mark in pass attempts with 106.
- Asmir Begovic was the only player to play a full match and complete all his pass attempts (23 for 23).
- West Ham's Cheikhou Kouyate lead all outfield players, who played 60 minutes or more, with a 96.9% pass completion rate.
- Mark Noble and Stewart Downing lead all players in successful crosses with 4 each, but Noble took just 6 attempts while Downing needed 10.
- Eden Hazard lead the league in take-ons with 9, Sterling and Cazorla tied for second with 5 apiece.
- Former Arsenal and current QPR left back, Armand Traore, was a very impressive 11 for 11 on aerial duels, making him tops in most won and best success percentage (100%). Southampton's Graziano Pelle won the second most, going 10 for 23 while United's Chris Smalling and Erik Pieters of Stoke were 2nd in efficiency going 7 for 7 each.
- Jack Wilshere won the most fouls with 6.
- England and West Brom's Saido Berahino was the only player to score a penalty and/or a brace, but he also lead in times dispossessed at 7. Raheem Sterling was runner-up with 6 times dispossessed and Daniel Sturridge tied with Aaron Ramsey at four times apiece.
- Adnan Januzaj lead all players with 6 direct turnovers, 2 more than any other player.
- Victor Wanyama and Mile Jedinak had the most successful tackles with 9 each.
- Sunderland's new left-back, Patrick van Aanholt is the league leader in interceptions with 8.
- Martin Skrtel's 19 clearances were enough to edge out Ryan Shawcross by one to lead all players.
- Marouane Chamakh committed 11 fouls, more than twice as many than any other player.
Mental Team Stats from Matchday One
Most efficient in possession
Keeping the ball away from City would be ideal. And Jesus Navas didn't even play.
| Man City | 0.695 |
| Arsenal | 0.690 |
| Man U | 0.681 |
| Everton | 0.676 |
| Chelsea | 0.673 |
| Liverpool | 0.645 |
Defensive efficiency
| C Palace | 0.212 |
| Sunderland | 0.172 |
| Hull City | 0.150 |
| Leicester | 0.136 |
| Swansea | 0.130 |
Crystal Palace continues their dominating defensive form from last season, meanwhile City is 11th (0.102), Liverpool is 12th (0.100), and Man United are dead last (0.057).
Overall Efficiency
| Man City | 0.798 |
| Arsenal | 0.766 |
| Chelsea | 0.749 |
| Everton | 0.746 |
| Liverpool | 0.746 |
The most important of these three numbers taking into account all favorable actions of players (i.e. keeping possession and preventing the other side from scoring). Arsenal is only ranked high here because of their passing, I expect them to fall rapidly as they play sides that focus more on possession-based defence instead of Palace's somewhat suicidal 'mighty fortress' stance.
Chance created value
| Swansea | 0.400 |
| Crystal Palace | 0.333 |
| Chelsea | 0.222 |
| Liverpool | 0.200 |
| Everton | 0.167 |
United is in a ton of trouble if they don't get some help on defence, Swansea has a decent attack but it's no where near the abilities of the top clubs.
Tidbits
- West Ham created the most chances of any side with 13, but failed to score. They also connected on the most crosses with 11, while Tottenham was the only club that was unsuccessful on all their cross attempts, going 0 for 13.
- Arsenal completed the most passes with 640, 89 more than 2nd-most Chelsea, but they attempted the least amount of long balls in 34.
- QPR took the most shots (19) and tied for the most on goal (6) with Arsenal and Southampton, but failed to score.
- Liverpool lead all sides in take-ons with 15.
- Not surprising, even though Howard Webb retired, Man United 'won' the most fouls with 20.
- Only three clubs had multiple assists: Chelsea, Liverpool, and Swansea, all three sides won.
Saturday, August 16, 2014
It's fitting that the Korean 'Gerrard' helps sink Man U
What a glorious way to kick off the Prem. With goals from Ki Sung-yeung and Gylfi Sigurdsson, Swansea took all three points at Old Trafford, winning 2-1. The South Korean is affectionately known as 'Gerrard' and 'Kirrard' by the Asian press, a well-deserved moniker after his performance today. The best part about his goal though is how Wilifred Bony manhandled Phil Jones to make space for Sung-yeung's shot. He tosses the dimwitted defender aside like a limp hot god. It's a thing of beauty.
I wonder what Van Gaal must be thinking now? Mangoloid U dominated possession, completed 87% of their passes, had three times as many shots, and won two-thirds of aerial battles. There's not much more they could have done. I actually feel a little sorry for the Dutchman, if he doesn't get at least one great player in, they are going to be in trouble. Did Herrera even play today? Never mind, I see he committed a couple of fouls.
There's a smile on David Moyes' mug right about now that not even a sledgehammer could crush. Van Gaal took one match to break-in the record book, first time ever in the Prem that United have lost their opening match and the first ever league win for Swansea at Old Trafford. There are 37 more to go though, and you'd have to lower your intelligence level to a Manc not realize United will improve.
Friday, August 15, 2014
What 'history' says about the loss of Suarez
A Premiership club losing their own and the league's leading scorer from the previous campaign is nothing new, in fact, it's happened four times prior. In 95-96, Alan Shearer set a Premier League record by scoring 31 goals for Blackburn. The Rovers finished 7th that season and Shearer was sold to Newcastle in the summer for a world record transfer fee of £15m. They were never really able to find a replacement and a downward spiral to relegation was sowed, coming to fruition following the 1998-99 campaign.
In 1997-98, the great Dion Dublin found the back of the net 18 times for Coventry, accounting for 39.1% of the Sky Blues' goals that season. The total tied him atop the league charts along with Liverpool's own, Michael Owen, and Chris Sutton. He was then bought by Villa in the summer transfer window for £5.75.
The season after he left, Coventry struggled, scoring 7 less goals overall and finishing 15th. They tried replacing Dublin with John Aloisi, who at that time was a 22-year-old striker coming off an impressive campaign at First Division (which was the equivalent of the Championship back then) Portsmouth. The Australian failed to fill Dublin's boots and eventually led to the club being relegated in 2001.
The next season, Jimmy Floyd Hasselbaink and Mickey Owen both scored 18 to lead the league. Hasselbaink played for Leeds at that time and unsatisfactory contract offers forced him to put in a transfer request during the summer of 1999. He was sold to Athletico Madrid where he had a stellar season, scoring 24 goals in 34 La Liga matches.
Leeds didn't miss him though, despite the 27-year-old Dutchman being responsible for 29% of their goals, they actually went up a spot on the table to 3rd. The remarkable thing is they garnered 69 points, 2 more than they did during Hasselbaink's final season, despite scoring 4 less goals and allowing 9 more. An Australian lad by the name of Kewell stepped up and filled the gap scoring 10 and (unofficially) assisting on another 13 in league play.
Finally, just two seasons ago, Robin Van Persie betrayed the Arsenal faithful, selling his soul to the Red Devils. The 30 goals he scored in his final season at the London club lead the league and accounted for 40.5% of the Gunner's total. The following season Arsenal finished a spot lower at 4th despite accumulating three more points. Their goals scored only dropped by 2, while they held their opponents to 12 less. If Liverpool would do the latter this season, they have a good chance of winning the league, even if they score 20 goals less.
What about non-league leading scorers who were significant contributors to their club the season before leaving:
*Clubs were relegated the player's final season and this is their finishing place in the Championship the following campaign.
In 1997-98, the great Dion Dublin found the back of the net 18 times for Coventry, accounting for 39.1% of the Sky Blues' goals that season. The total tied him atop the league charts along with Liverpool's own, Michael Owen, and Chris Sutton. He was then bought by Villa in the summer transfer window for £5.75.
The season after he left, Coventry struggled, scoring 7 less goals overall and finishing 15th. They tried replacing Dublin with John Aloisi, who at that time was a 22-year-old striker coming off an impressive campaign at First Division (which was the equivalent of the Championship back then) Portsmouth. The Australian failed to fill Dublin's boots and eventually led to the club being relegated in 2001.
The next season, Jimmy Floyd Hasselbaink and Mickey Owen both scored 18 to lead the league. Hasselbaink played for Leeds at that time and unsatisfactory contract offers forced him to put in a transfer request during the summer of 1999. He was sold to Athletico Madrid where he had a stellar season, scoring 24 goals in 34 La Liga matches.
Leeds didn't miss him though, despite the 27-year-old Dutchman being responsible for 29% of their goals, they actually went up a spot on the table to 3rd. The remarkable thing is they garnered 69 points, 2 more than they did during Hasselbaink's final season, despite scoring 4 less goals and allowing 9 more. An Australian lad by the name of Kewell stepped up and filled the gap scoring 10 and (unofficially) assisting on another 13 in league play.
Finally, just two seasons ago, Robin Van Persie betrayed the Arsenal faithful, selling his soul to the Red Devils. The 30 goals he scored in his final season at the London club lead the league and accounted for 40.5% of the Gunner's total. The following season Arsenal finished a spot lower at 4th despite accumulating three more points. Their goals scored only dropped by 2, while they held their opponents to 12 less. If Liverpool would do the latter this season, they have a good chance of winning the league, even if they score 20 goals less.
What about non-league leading scorers who were significant contributors to their club the season before leaving:
| year | player | prev club | goals | club | pct | place | after |
| 94-95 | L. Ferdinand | QPR | 24 | 61 | 39.34% | 8th | 19th |
| S. Collymore | Nott Forest | 22 | 72 | 30.56% | 3rd | 9th | |
| J. Klinnsman | Tottenham | 21 | 66 | 31.82% | 7th | 8th | |
| 98-99 | N. Anelka | Arsenal | 17 | 59 | 28.81% | 2nd | 2nd |
| 05-06 | Van Nistelroy | Man U | 21 | 72 | 29.17% | 2nd | 1st |
| 06-07 | Mark Viduka | Mids'boro | 14 | 44 | 31.82% | 12th | 13th |
| Darrent Bent | Charlton | 13 | 34 | 38.24% | 19th | 11th* | |
| 08-09 | C. Ronaldo | Man U | 18 | 68 | 26.47% | 1st | 2nd |
| 11-12 | C. Dempsey | Fulham | 18 | 68 | 26.47% | 9th | 12th |
| Yakubu | Blackburn | 17 | 48 | 35.42% | 19th | 17th* | |
| 12-13 | Gareth Bale | Tottenham | 21 | 66 | 31.82% | 5th | 6th |
| R. Lukaku | WBA (loan) | 17 | 53 | 32.08% | 8th | 17th | |
| Demba Ba | Newcastle | 15 | 45 | 33.33% | 16th | 10th |
One thing that can be derived is that 'major' clubs take the loss of a significant attacking player much better than 'mid-table' or 'smaller' sides. That gives hope to Liverpool, though only twice has a club increased their finishing place on the table. Leeds in 2000-01, as mentioned above, and in 2006-07 when Mangoloid U won the league after the loss of Van Nistelroy. Another thing that should be pointed out is none of the clubs mentioned in this post featured the second leading league scorer from the previous season, whereas Liverpool have Daniel Sturridge.
Tuesday, August 12, 2014
Take note United, Moreno transfer is how it's done
If reports are true and we have captured 22-year-old left back Alberto Moreno from Sevilla for £12m, Ian Ayre has outdone himself because that's a solid piece of business. The original asking price was €20m or £15.9m, but months of negotiating dwindled it down, though I am sure there is some fine print of add-ons and possible transfer fee reductions of Iago Aspas if they choose to keep him. Instead of being like United and just breaking out the check book, compromise appeared to have actually taken place, and we got a player at a fair price, though he could become a 'steal' down the road.
On top of his defensive abilities, Moreno has the dribbling and passing skills to make a tremendous impact on attack as well. It's his acumen, his ability to discern and anticipate his opponent's next move that is most impressive and helps him shut'em down. His pace and vigor will benefit him on both sides of the pitch and are definitely Premier league quality.
The stats from his two seasons at Sevilla show different sides of his skill spectrum. In his first season he excelled on defence and the second he improved his attacking numbers though seemingly at the cost of his defensive contribution:
On top of his defensive abilities, Moreno has the dribbling and passing skills to make a tremendous impact on attack as well. It's his acumen, his ability to discern and anticipate his opponent's next move that is most impressive and helps him shut'em down. His pace and vigor will benefit him on both sides of the pitch and are definitely Premier league quality.
The stats from his two seasons at Sevilla show different sides of his skill spectrum. In his first season he excelled on defence and the second he improved his attacking numbers though seemingly at the cost of his defensive contribution:
| yr | gc90 | cc90 | ps% | bp% | tti90 | gopd | tkl90 | tkl% | int90 | clr90 | adw90 | adw% |
| 13-14 | 0.11 | 0.71 | 0.789 | 0.365 | 8.62 | -0.15 | 1.94 | .396 | 2.72 | 1.64 | 1.94 | 0.500 |
| 12-13 | 0.08 | 0.67 | 0.781 | 0.45 | 10 | 0.73 | 2.42 | .378 | 3.83 | 3.50 | 1.92 | 0.478 |
He improved in nearly every attacking category, but slagged off a little on defense. His improvement in backpass percentage and true turnover index per 90 minutes was quite impressive. The drop in tackles, interceptions, and clearances per 90 minutes are disappointing and hopefully just a one year slump. The drastic decline in his goals-on-pitch is alarming, hopefully going from a very impressive 0.73 to a -0.15 is just a glitch and he becomes a positive influence once again.
If he can get back to his first season numbers in the first third and continue his improvement in the opponent's, he'll be well-worth his reasonable price tag. At least we didn't pay £30m for him, Shaw will have to put up at least twice the numbers of Moreno to prove he's worth that much.
Eto'o just as good as Van Persie last season
I don't understand why so many Liverpool fans are against signing Eto'o on a free. The arguments of his 'loss of pace' are grossly over-exaggerated if not unproven and defining him as a 'mercenary' is just delusionary. Welcome to modern football, swallow your pride or go back to being a mid-table club.
What's even more pathetic are United fans joking about Liverpool possibly signing the 32-year-old Cameroonian. Eto'o was just as good as Van Persie last year, but that would take intelligence to understand and I don't give the Manc mongoloids that much credit. Here is a comparison of their stats from last season:
What's even more pathetic are United fans joking about Liverpool possibly signing the 32-year-old Cameroonian. Eto'o was just as good as Van Persie last year, but that would take intelligence to understand and I don't give the Manc mongoloids that much credit. Here is a comparison of their stats from last season:
| npg90 | ap90 | gc90 | cc90 | pass% | sacc% | shot% | tti90 | gopd90 | gopd | |
| Eto'o | 0.62 | 0.14 | 0.76 | 1.53 | 0.761 | 0.441 | 0.153 | 11.3 | 1.18 | 0.02 |
| RVP | 0.57 | 0.17 | 0.86 | 0.97 | 0.767 | 0.339 | 0.161 | 10.5 | 0.40 | -0.15 |
Eto'o scored more non-penalty goals and created more chances per 90 minutes played. The most damning stat is their value to their respective clubs, Eto'o may not have been the 'world class' goal scorer he once was, but at least he didn't have a negative effect on his team's performance. Van Persie's -0.15 goals on pitch difference suggests he was detrimental toward Man United's winning efforts. Seems like the joke's on Man United as they are definitely going to keep a 31-year-old striker who is often injured and failed to help his side's seventh place cause last season. I guess it's good they won't be venturing far from home next season.
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