It has officially become a two horse race. Sure, Spurs, Chelsea, and even the Gunners could go on a run, but in the end, it will take a significant collapse by City and LFC to allow those clubs back in the hunt for the PL title. Probably not going to happen. City is on pace to bank 104 points, while LFC is on track for 99, neither will probably end up with those totals, but it is most likely safe to say they will end up one and two. The greatest factor is, barring injuries, the remaining schedule.
I cannot stand when people try to claim that strength of schedule is not a factor in the PL. Yes, every team plays one another twice, once at home and once on the road, but when these matches are played is very important as well. It is better to play tougher opponents earlier in the schedule or after rest periods, especially away. Almost any opponent on the road is going to be tough as it is.
So far this season, City has played seven out of fifteen matches on the road. Liverpool have only played eight, but it is still one more match that they are more likely to get 3 points. City has played Arsenal, Tottenham, and LFC away, earning an impressive 7 points, with the only non-win being at Anfield. They were lucky to play the Gunners on the opening round, now I doubt they would have gotten away with a similar 2-0 result since Arsenal has improved significantly. That is also a factor, some clubs get better as the season progressives and Arsenal, Everton, Brighton, Newcastle, and West Ham have all showed improvement since the beginning. This also means that City have yet to play at Chelsea and United, which I'm hoping the latter is actually a contest. I don't think I have ever cheered United on, it will be painful, but I have to do so if I hope for the league title. Liverpool have played at Spurs, Chelsea, and at Gunners, earning 5 points. They had the misfortune of playing an improved Gunners side in week 11 and honestly, they were lucky to come away with a point.
Neither LFC nor City have played any significant opponents at home other than themselves at Anfield, so those fixtures are probably must wins for the Reds if they have any aspirations to win the league. City have yet to host Liverpool, which has to be considered the most important fixture left. A win would be monumental, but a draw is probably the best to hope for. They play on January 3rd.
If we look at remaining fixtures, who has the tougher schedule? The hardest fixtures left for Liverpool are home to United (12/16), at City (1/3), at United (2/23), at Everton (2/3), home to Spurs (4/6), and home to Chelsea (4/13). City has at Chelsea (12/8), home to LFC (1/3), home to Arsenal (2/2), home to Chelsea (2/9), at Everton (2/23), at United (3/16), and home to Spurs (4/20). That leaves Liverpool with one less 'hardest' fixture and a potential six point swing, though that is optimistic.
Between the two sides, City really only have the only bad result with a draw at Wolves, so lets look at the potential 'upsets'. Liverpool very well could lose or concede points at Bournemouth in two days (they are sixth in the league after all), at West Ham (2/2),at Wolves (12/21), and at Newcastle (5/4). I highly doubt points will be lost at Newcastle, but karma (Rafa) may come into play. City have home to Everton (12/15), at Newcastle (1/29), and at Bournemouth (3/2). Liverpool have it a little rougher with these mid-table/trending fixtures, but we are really only talking maybe a two-point margin.
Finally, the other onerous factor is schedule congestion with regards to opponent strength. City has to play at Chelsea, Leicester, and Southampton, and home to Everton, CP, Liverpool in a 35 day period between 1/8 and 2/3. They play their toughest matches first (at Chelsea) and last (home to Liverpool), with only one 'challenging' in between (at Everton). Meanwhile, LFC have to play away to Bournemouth, Wolverhampton, and City, and at home to United, Newcastle, and Arsenal. Liverpool clearly have a tougher schedule during this period.
There is also Champions League, FA Cup, and League Cup fixtures to consider, but based on just the PL schedule, Liverpool have a slight advantage though it will take a at least one significant upset on City's part and a perfect LFC run to win the league. I don't want to say anything is impossible though.
Showing posts with label Manchester. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Manchester. Show all posts
Thursday, December 6, 2018
Friday, September 19, 2014
Skrtel or Sakho? Who is better to partner Lovren?
Despite being far apart on the ethnic field, Martin Skrtel and Mamadou Sakho play an eerily similar style of football on the pitch. The Slovakian and the Senegalese-Frenchman are both efficient passers, each posting around 90% last season and this campaign so far, neither are very committal to tackling, preferring to play a 'stand-offish', marking style of defense, and both like to get forward, though Sakho does this much more to my liking. If I had to give an edge to either concerning attacking and/or defending, I'd say Skrtel is actually better on both sides of the ball despite Sakho being more 'creative'.
That is not the question though, it is whom is better to partner our Croatian juggernaut, Dejan Lovren. To do that, let's take a look at Lovren's style of play. Our Number Six is not as good a passer as his fellow centre backs, but has improved from last season when he played for Southampton. So far he's posted an 88.5% pass completion percentage compared to 82% last year, which is even more impressive when you consider he's averaged 17 more pass attempts per a match this season so far. That probably has more to do with the fact that the Saints averaged nearly 2 more yards per pass and attempted 14 more long balls per match, finishing second in the league with 70 attempts on average. Lovren is also more likely to 'go to ground' and attempt a tackle than Skrtel or Sakho. He has completed 11 successful tackles this season so far while the other two have 3 combined.
One could argue match-ups should play a part, but there are two great examples from this season that make that argument invalid. Skrtel paired Lovren at the Etihad which Liverpool lost 3-1 despite playing well. Unfortunately, City played slightly better even though two of their goals were due to defensive mishap, none the fault of Skrtel though. In fact, I re-watched an extended highlights video of that match and noticed a lot of friction and distrust displayed between Lovren and Skrtel, but ultimately, the first two goals were mostly the fault of Lovren being out of position.
During the build-up of the first goal, Lovren is more concerned with whether Skrtel is marking Dzeko instead of covering 'his' area, the left side of the box.
That is not the question though, it is whom is better to partner our Croatian juggernaut, Dejan Lovren. To do that, let's take a look at Lovren's style of play. Our Number Six is not as good a passer as his fellow centre backs, but has improved from last season when he played for Southampton. So far he's posted an 88.5% pass completion percentage compared to 82% last year, which is even more impressive when you consider he's averaged 17 more pass attempts per a match this season so far. That probably has more to do with the fact that the Saints averaged nearly 2 more yards per pass and attempted 14 more long balls per match, finishing second in the league with 70 attempts on average. Lovren is also more likely to 'go to ground' and attempt a tackle than Skrtel or Sakho. He has completed 11 successful tackles this season so far while the other two have 3 combined.
One could argue match-ups should play a part, but there are two great examples from this season that make that argument invalid. Skrtel paired Lovren at the Etihad which Liverpool lost 3-1 despite playing well. Unfortunately, City played slightly better even though two of their goals were due to defensive mishap, none the fault of Skrtel though. In fact, I re-watched an extended highlights video of that match and noticed a lot of friction and distrust displayed between Lovren and Skrtel, but ultimately, the first two goals were mostly the fault of Lovren being out of position.
During the build-up of the first goal, Lovren is more concerned with whether Skrtel is marking Dzeko instead of covering 'his' area, the left side of the box.
As the above still shot from the match shows, Lovren was not in the best possible position and was unable to provide proper coverage for Moreno and Gerrard. In a panic, he heads the ball right to a surging Jovetic. Sure, Moreno could have done better to clear, but he shouldn't had to in the first place.
Here is a still shot just before the second goal:
Jovetic has the ball and is about to release both Zabaleta and Nasri with an excellent back heel pass through. Lovren is way out of position to begin with, why he is so far forward is beyond me. Jovetic has his back to the goal, which for him to gain possession and right himself would take more than enough time for Henderson and/or Gerrard to collapse on him, so Lovren had no business being there. Once the break starts, Skrtel had no choice but provide coverage on the left, leaving Johnson to mark Dzeko. Jovetic sneaked in behind, found himself all alone on the right, and the rest, they say, is history. Had Lovren stayed behind Zabaleta, he would have most likely been able to clear the ball or at least disrupt play enough to prevent the goal, plus Skrtel would have been able to stay more central and allow Johnson to pick up Jovetic. One could argue that Lovren was trying to set an offside trap, but if that is so, he's doing a terrible job of communicating it to his fellow defenders.
In the City match, a Skrtel-Lovren pairing was ideal being that Lovren is usually better at maintaining his position than Sakho. Unfortunately he failed to do so. For Villa, a Sakho-Lovren pairing is more ideal because Villa is dreadful and adding another player on attack seemingly can only help. Unfortunately it did not, but once again Lovren was somewhat at fault for the goal. He was beaten by Senderos on the corner, had Manquillo's arm not blocked the attempt, there was a chance of it getting past Lallana and going in. It instead fell to Agbonlahor. I would say Balotelli and Moreno's inability to clear it before it got to Senderos was more of an issue than Lovren's marking.
It would have been nice to have Skrtel for Ludogorets. I can't see him getting caught out of position as much as Sakho and Lovren did. I didn't expect to draw this conclusion, but after looking over the stats and watching match highlights, maybe the best pairing for Lovren is a seat on the bench. The only thing he brings so far is tackling and errors. That may be harsh, but it is clear he has positioning and communication issues, certainly with Skrtel on the latter. Maybe Rodgers should give him a couple of matches off and some time to think about his latest performances. I think he's a great defender and player in general, but it seems like he's trying to do too much and it's hurting the side.
Saturday, September 6, 2014
'Special' accommodations & menu items of Giggsy and Gazzo's Hotel Football uncovered
Man United fans are in for a real treat this December when Hotel Football opens next to Old Trafford. The 138-bed, 10-story hotel will be the first of hopefully many for Ryan Giggs and Gary Neville's business, GG Hospitality. The two former Red Devils have traveled the world extensively and stayed in many a hotel, especially Giggs who has lived in one recently. According to their website, their experiences have given them 'an innate understanding of what works and what doesn't' in the hospitality trade.
The press blitz for the new venture started awhile back, but what you will never find in an advert, brochure, or even press packet are the 'secret' special accommodations and menu items only available for those 'in the know'. I came across these revelations when I infiltrated 3 past 3, the secret society for former Manchester United players. Posing as Paul Parker, I attended a 'meeting' where I had in-depth conversations about the new venue with Nicky Butt and Paul Scholes. They let me in on some interesting features that won't be available to the general public at the hotel.
What I found most endearing was the apparent man-love former players have for Johnny Evans. There will be a secret suite named in his honor where, as it was put to me, 'you can get away with anything'. I have no idea what they were implying there. There will also be a special drink named for him called the 'GoHnny Bevans' (pronounced 'Johnny Bevans'), an interesting spelling nonetheless, but it's apparently a knock-out with the ladies and really gets them in the mood.
The penthouse suite will be covertly named 'the house Dwight Yorke built'. It will be the only personally-staffed suite with a minimally-dressed 'servant' (woman or man, your choice) and a bartender (again gender choice, shirt-optional). Along with it's own 8-seat bar, this suite will also feature a jacuzzi and a 'secret' bathroom called the 'Rooney' room which will feature 'all the latest technologies for your pleasure'. A personally written note from the United striker is given to each guest.
For those who can afford it, a massage therapist will be available 24 hours a day, either by room visit or in the Tommy Docherty office located in the basement. There will also be an extensive security system with hundreds of cameras strategically placed through out the facility. The room housing the nearly sixty monitors for those cameras is named after former club chairman Martin Edwards, a man who is known for his remarkable peeping abilities. A concierge who is knowledgeable of all the local entertainment including a non-age discriminate 'companionship' service recommended by Wayne Rooney, will also be available and on call at all hours.
Special secret menu items at the Cafe Football include a pie called the Zaha, 'so good it'll be like shagging your manager's daughter', and the Anderson, a prawn delicacy that'll disappear so fast 'you'll never realize how much it cost.' Special drinks include 'the Ferguson' which will, according to David Moyes, 'turn your nose red and leave you a mess to deal with', as well as the 'Van Gaal' which apparently makes you regret things you do and say almost immediately.
Now that I'm in the know, I can't wait to stay there. Hopefully I'll get a room close to Giggsy.
The press blitz for the new venture started awhile back, but what you will never find in an advert, brochure, or even press packet are the 'secret' special accommodations and menu items only available for those 'in the know'. I came across these revelations when I infiltrated 3 past 3, the secret society for former Manchester United players. Posing as Paul Parker, I attended a 'meeting' where I had in-depth conversations about the new venue with Nicky Butt and Paul Scholes. They let me in on some interesting features that won't be available to the general public at the hotel.
What I found most endearing was the apparent man-love former players have for Johnny Evans. There will be a secret suite named in his honor where, as it was put to me, 'you can get away with anything'. I have no idea what they were implying there. There will also be a special drink named for him called the 'GoHnny Bevans' (pronounced 'Johnny Bevans'), an interesting spelling nonetheless, but it's apparently a knock-out with the ladies and really gets them in the mood.
The penthouse suite will be covertly named 'the house Dwight Yorke built'. It will be the only personally-staffed suite with a minimally-dressed 'servant' (woman or man, your choice) and a bartender (again gender choice, shirt-optional). Along with it's own 8-seat bar, this suite will also feature a jacuzzi and a 'secret' bathroom called the 'Rooney' room which will feature 'all the latest technologies for your pleasure'. A personally written note from the United striker is given to each guest.
For those who can afford it, a massage therapist will be available 24 hours a day, either by room visit or in the Tommy Docherty office located in the basement. There will also be an extensive security system with hundreds of cameras strategically placed through out the facility. The room housing the nearly sixty monitors for those cameras is named after former club chairman Martin Edwards, a man who is known for his remarkable peeping abilities. A concierge who is knowledgeable of all the local entertainment including a non-age discriminate 'companionship' service recommended by Wayne Rooney, will also be available and on call at all hours.
Special secret menu items at the Cafe Football include a pie called the Zaha, 'so good it'll be like shagging your manager's daughter', and the Anderson, a prawn delicacy that'll disappear so fast 'you'll never realize how much it cost.' Special drinks include 'the Ferguson' which will, according to David Moyes, 'turn your nose red and leave you a mess to deal with', as well as the 'Van Gaal' which apparently makes you regret things you do and say almost immediately.
Now that I'm in the know, I can't wait to stay there. Hopefully I'll get a room close to Giggsy.
Friday, August 29, 2014
All tomorrow's winners: Man United, Man City, Chelsea, Newcastle, Swansea, & West Ham
Predictions for tomorrow:
Burnley vs Man United
Betting on Burnley is a sucker bet as United's attack is far better than portrayed and Burnley has the worst defence in the league. This one could get ugly and expect Van Persie to open his account for the season. Burnley 1, Man United 3
Man City vs Stoke
Begovic & company are good enough on defence to hold this to late, but I don't think they will. City will probably get a goal around the middle of the first half and then add another late. The Potters just don't have the ability to break down the City defense at the Etihad without a major mistake from their hosts. Look for Dzeko to get his first goal of the season. Man City 2, Stoke 0
Newcastle vs Crystal Palace
Three points will not get any easier for the Magpies. They boast a decent attack and a respectable defence plus playing at home against Palace, who are dreadful on attack, should give them a significant edge. If Dwight Gayle plays a significant amount, Palace will get at least a goal from him, but not sure it's worth the risk. Newcastle 3, Crystal Palace 1
QPR vs Sunderland
Joey Barton and Rio Ferdinand have played exceptionally for their less than exceptional side, but if Remy is not available, this match has draw written all over it. Sunderland is superior both on attack and in defence, but the confidings of Loftus Road will give QPR a proper boost. QPR 2, Sunderland 2
Swansea vs West Brom
This match could end up being the most exciting of the day. Swansea is just poor enough on defence to allow a mediocre WBA attack to keep it exciting, but ultimately the superior Swan attack should prevail. Wilfried Bony is itching for a goal. Swansea 3, WBA 2
West Ham vs Southampton
Another candidate for match of the day, Southampton should have enough to make it interesting against a somewhat decent West Ham defence. In the end though, the Hammers strength of Allardyce's 'air ball' are the Saints' weakness. West Ham 2, Southampton 0
Everton vs Chelsea
Despite being at Goodison, I don't think the Toffees will be able to compete with Chelsea, but if they try, the London club could humiliate them. This is just a bad match-up for the blue side of Merseyside, Chelsea play a similar yet superior style of attack and are far better on defence. I'll go conservative here though and say Everton 0, Chelsea 2.
Burnley vs Man United
Betting on Burnley is a sucker bet as United's attack is far better than portrayed and Burnley has the worst defence in the league. This one could get ugly and expect Van Persie to open his account for the season. Burnley 1, Man United 3
Man City vs Stoke
Begovic & company are good enough on defence to hold this to late, but I don't think they will. City will probably get a goal around the middle of the first half and then add another late. The Potters just don't have the ability to break down the City defense at the Etihad without a major mistake from their hosts. Look for Dzeko to get his first goal of the season. Man City 2, Stoke 0
Newcastle vs Crystal Palace
Three points will not get any easier for the Magpies. They boast a decent attack and a respectable defence plus playing at home against Palace, who are dreadful on attack, should give them a significant edge. If Dwight Gayle plays a significant amount, Palace will get at least a goal from him, but not sure it's worth the risk. Newcastle 3, Crystal Palace 1
QPR vs Sunderland
Joey Barton and Rio Ferdinand have played exceptionally for their less than exceptional side, but if Remy is not available, this match has draw written all over it. Sunderland is superior both on attack and in defence, but the confidings of Loftus Road will give QPR a proper boost. QPR 2, Sunderland 2
Swansea vs West Brom
This match could end up being the most exciting of the day. Swansea is just poor enough on defence to allow a mediocre WBA attack to keep it exciting, but ultimately the superior Swan attack should prevail. Wilfried Bony is itching for a goal. Swansea 3, WBA 2
West Ham vs Southampton
Another candidate for match of the day, Southampton should have enough to make it interesting against a somewhat decent West Ham defence. In the end though, the Hammers strength of Allardyce's 'air ball' are the Saints' weakness. West Ham 2, Southampton 0
Everton vs Chelsea
Despite being at Goodison, I don't think the Toffees will be able to compete with Chelsea, but if they try, the London club could humiliate them. This is just a bad match-up for the blue side of Merseyside, Chelsea play a similar yet superior style of attack and are far better on defence. I'll go conservative here though and say Everton 0, Chelsea 2.
Sunday, August 24, 2014
Suso to score? Liverpool to win 3-2? What the betting markets are saying.
To win:
Man City 13/15 60.21%
Liverpool 10/3 20.64%
Draw 3/1 19.15%
Not enough money on City and too much of a pay off to expect a win/draw tomorrow, but the market isn't always right.
First to score:
Sergio Aguero 9/2 17.65%
Raheem Sterling 11/1 17.65%
No goal scorer 14/1 17.65%
Edin Dezeko 5/1 11.76%
Daniel Sturridge 7/1 8.82%
I actually like Jovetic here at 6/1, Y. Toure is good value at 7/1 but he played deep against Newcastle and think he may do the same here. Lazar Markovic at 14/1 is a stretch, but if he makes the pitch I expect him to try his damnest to score on his debut, especially against the champs.
Other decent first to score bets: Silva 10/1, Nasri 9/1, Gerrard 14/1, & Skrtel 33/1.
Shots in the dark: Milner 22/1, Manquillo 66/1, Lazar Markovic 14/1, & Bacary Sagna 45/1
Sucker bets: Lambert 10/1 (that number is way too low) & Borini 9/1
Correct Final Score:
Liverpool 3-2 35/1 13.64%
Draw 1-1 8/1 11.36%
Draw 0-0 16/1 9.85%
Draw 2-2 14/1 9.09%
Man City 4-2 50/1 7.58%
The other favorites are City 2-1 (8/1) and City 1-0 (19/2). I am shocked that anyone thinks we will score 3 against City, their defence is just too good. If we do win, it'll be 2-1 or 1-0, but I think we'll be lucky to get away with a draw. The Liverpool fan in me says 'Pool 2-0, the pragmatic, intelligent football analyst says Citeh with an emphatical 3-0 win. Sorry, but we are not on their level... yet. If Markovic plays and shows he is the talent he's built up to be, then I will be more optimistic.
Draw No Bet:
Man City 2/5 77.78%
Liverpool 28/13 22.22%
That's not good.
Anytime Goalscorer:
Stevan Jovetic 2/1 27.78%
Daniel Sturridge 11/5 16.67%
Raheem Sterling 7/2 16.67%
David Silva 7/2 5.56%
Suso 5/1 5.56%
Suso? Really? He was no where near the bench on match day one and now that Markovic and possibly Lallana are fit, he probably won't even be in the stands. Jovetic is crazy at 2/1, which puts a first goalscorer bet in jeopardy as well. Sturridge, Aguero (6/4),and Dzeko (6/4) would be my picks. My long shots would be Coutinho (5/1), Kolarov (13/2), and Skrtel (14/1).
Man of the Match:
David Silva 12/1 56.25%
Jordan Henderson 18/1 31.25%
Sergio Aguero 7/1 12.50%
Yaya Toure (7/1), Raheem Sterling (9/1), and any goalkeeper (16/1) seem like decent bets.
Bets if you're feeling lucky:
Kolarov to score 2 or more goals 75/1
The Serbian left back is just the sort of player who has the big game against us.
Henderson to receive a card (5/1)
Henderson and Oliver have a 'history'.
Man City by a goal (11/4)
This is logically the most likely result, but logical people don't gamble much.
Man City 13/15 60.21%
Liverpool 10/3 20.64%
Draw 3/1 19.15%
Not enough money on City and too much of a pay off to expect a win/draw tomorrow, but the market isn't always right.
First to score:
Sergio Aguero 9/2 17.65%
Raheem Sterling 11/1 17.65%
No goal scorer 14/1 17.65%
Edin Dezeko 5/1 11.76%
Daniel Sturridge 7/1 8.82%
I actually like Jovetic here at 6/1, Y. Toure is good value at 7/1 but he played deep against Newcastle and think he may do the same here. Lazar Markovic at 14/1 is a stretch, but if he makes the pitch I expect him to try his damnest to score on his debut, especially against the champs.
Other decent first to score bets: Silva 10/1, Nasri 9/1, Gerrard 14/1, & Skrtel 33/1.
Shots in the dark: Milner 22/1, Manquillo 66/1, Lazar Markovic 14/1, & Bacary Sagna 45/1
Sucker bets: Lambert 10/1 (that number is way too low) & Borini 9/1
Correct Final Score:
Liverpool 3-2 35/1 13.64%
Draw 1-1 8/1 11.36%
Draw 0-0 16/1 9.85%
Draw 2-2 14/1 9.09%
Man City 4-2 50/1 7.58%
The other favorites are City 2-1 (8/1) and City 1-0 (19/2). I am shocked that anyone thinks we will score 3 against City, their defence is just too good. If we do win, it'll be 2-1 or 1-0, but I think we'll be lucky to get away with a draw. The Liverpool fan in me says 'Pool 2-0, the pragmatic, intelligent football analyst says Citeh with an emphatical 3-0 win. Sorry, but we are not on their level... yet. If Markovic plays and shows he is the talent he's built up to be, then I will be more optimistic.
Draw No Bet:
Man City 2/5 77.78%
Liverpool 28/13 22.22%
That's not good.
Anytime Goalscorer:
Stevan Jovetic 2/1 27.78%
Daniel Sturridge 11/5 16.67%
Raheem Sterling 7/2 16.67%
David Silva 7/2 5.56%
Suso 5/1 5.56%
Suso? Really? He was no where near the bench on match day one and now that Markovic and possibly Lallana are fit, he probably won't even be in the stands. Jovetic is crazy at 2/1, which puts a first goalscorer bet in jeopardy as well. Sturridge, Aguero (6/4),and Dzeko (6/4) would be my picks. My long shots would be Coutinho (5/1), Kolarov (13/2), and Skrtel (14/1).
Man of the Match:
David Silva 12/1 56.25%
Jordan Henderson 18/1 31.25%
Sergio Aguero 7/1 12.50%
Yaya Toure (7/1), Raheem Sterling (9/1), and any goalkeeper (16/1) seem like decent bets.
Bets if you're feeling lucky:
Kolarov to score 2 or more goals 75/1
The Serbian left back is just the sort of player who has the big game against us.
Henderson to receive a card (5/1)
Henderson and Oliver have a 'history'.
Man City by a goal (11/4)
This is logically the most likely result, but logical people don't gamble much.
Thursday, August 21, 2014
Dejan Lovren is the most efficient player in the EPL thus far
Individual Stats Leaders after Week One
Top ten most efficient in possession players:
- Joey Barton lead all players with 6 chances created.
- Mikel Arteta lead all players with 100 completed passes on 105 attempts (95.2%), Aaron Ramsey was the only other player to break the century mark in pass attempts with 106.
- Asmir Begovic was the only player to play a full match and complete all his pass attempts (23 for 23).
- West Ham's Cheikhou Kouyate lead all outfield players, who played 60 minutes or more, with a 96.9% pass completion rate.
- Mark Noble and Stewart Downing lead all players in successful crosses with 4 each, but Noble took just 6 attempts while Downing needed 10.
- Eden Hazard lead the league in take-ons with 9, Sterling and Cazorla tied for second with 5 apiece.
- Former Arsenal and current QPR left back, Armand Traore, was a very impressive 11 for 11 on aerial duels, making him tops in most won and best success percentage (100%). Southampton's Graziano Pelle won the second most, going 10 for 23 while United's Chris Smalling and Erik Pieters of Stoke were 2nd in efficiency going 7 for 7 each.
- Jack Wilshere won the most fouls with 6.
- England and West Brom's Saido Berahino was the only player to score a penalty and/or a brace, but he also lead in times dispossessed at 7. Raheem Sterling was runner-up with 6 times dispossessed and Daniel Sturridge tied with Aaron Ramsey at four times apiece.
- Adnan Januzaj lead all players with 6 direct turnovers, 2 more than any other player.
- Victor Wanyama and Mile Jedinak had the most successful tackles with 9 each.
- Sunderland's new left-back, Patrick van Aanholt is the league leader in interceptions with 8.
- Martin Skrtel's 19 clearances were enough to edge out Ryan Shawcross by one to lead all players.
- Marouane Chamakh committed 11 fouls, more than twice as many than any other player.
Top ten most efficient in possession players:
| S. Nasri | 0.889 |
| Y. Toure | 0.868 |
| T. Blackett | 0.866 |
| Andy King | 0.852 |
| M. Arteta | 0.850 |
| G. Barry | 0.839 |
| N. Bentaleb | 0.828 |
| V. Kompany | 0.816 |
| J. Olsson | 0.813 |
| G. Obertan | 0.800 |
Leicester's Andy King is a surprising one here. Gerrard came 11th with a ppe of 0.797.
Top ten most efficient defensive players:
| Liam Moore | 0.405 |
| S. Dann | 0.400 |
| Curtis Davies | 0.380 |
| J. Chester | 0.344 |
| M. Jedinak | 0.339 |
| P. van Aanholt | 0.339 |
| B. Hangeland | 0.333 |
| Wes Morgan | 0.319 |
| P. Senderos | 0.297 |
| M. Kelly | 0.295 |
Some solid players (Dann, Davies, Jedinak, & Hangeland) mixed in with some surprises who will probably play their way out of the this category. Former LFC boy Kelly comes in tenth.
The ten most efficient overall:
| D. Lovren | 0.953 |
| L. Koscielny | 0.950 |
| M. Arteta | 0.925 |
| P. Jagielka | 0.922 |
| M. Skrtel | 0.919 |
| V. Kompany | 0.918 |
| J. Chester | 0.918 |
| T. Blackett | 0.918 |
| J. Collins | 0.911 |
| W. Reid | 0.911 |
I was shocked to see Lovren on top here. Skrtel at fifth, not so much, with all the defensive numbers he racked up.
The top ten in effieciency over team average:
| S. Dann | 0.271 |
| J. Chester | 0.254 |
| Ron Vlaar | 0.253 |
| R. Ferdinand | 0.249 |
| David Jones | 0.238 |
| J. Olsson | 0.237 |
| L. Cattermole | 0.232 |
| B. Hangeland | 0.221 |
| D. Lovren | 0.208 |
| J. Collins | 0.207 |
This stat measures a players performance compared to his team's average, for instance, Scott Dann and Brede Hangeland's were the stars on a less than stellar Crystal Palace versus Arsenal.
- Mikel Arteta lead all players with 100 completed passes on 105 attempts (95.2%), Aaron Ramsey was the only other player to break the century mark in pass attempts with 106.
- Asmir Begovic was the only player to play a full match and complete all his pass attempts (23 for 23).
- West Ham's Cheikhou Kouyate lead all outfield players, who played 60 minutes or more, with a 96.9% pass completion rate.
- Mark Noble and Stewart Downing lead all players in successful crosses with 4 each, but Noble took just 6 attempts while Downing needed 10.
- Eden Hazard lead the league in take-ons with 9, Sterling and Cazorla tied for second with 5 apiece.
- Former Arsenal and current QPR left back, Armand Traore, was a very impressive 11 for 11 on aerial duels, making him tops in most won and best success percentage (100%). Southampton's Graziano Pelle won the second most, going 10 for 23 while United's Chris Smalling and Erik Pieters of Stoke were 2nd in efficiency going 7 for 7 each.
- Jack Wilshere won the most fouls with 6.
- England and West Brom's Saido Berahino was the only player to score a penalty and/or a brace, but he also lead in times dispossessed at 7. Raheem Sterling was runner-up with 6 times dispossessed and Daniel Sturridge tied with Aaron Ramsey at four times apiece.
- Adnan Januzaj lead all players with 6 direct turnovers, 2 more than any other player.
- Victor Wanyama and Mile Jedinak had the most successful tackles with 9 each.
- Sunderland's new left-back, Patrick van Aanholt is the league leader in interceptions with 8.
- Martin Skrtel's 19 clearances were enough to edge out Ryan Shawcross by one to lead all players.
- Marouane Chamakh committed 11 fouls, more than twice as many than any other player.
Mental Team Stats from Matchday One
Most efficient in possession
Keeping the ball away from City would be ideal. And Jesus Navas didn't even play.
| Man City | 0.695 |
| Arsenal | 0.690 |
| Man U | 0.681 |
| Everton | 0.676 |
| Chelsea | 0.673 |
| Liverpool | 0.645 |
Defensive efficiency
| C Palace | 0.212 |
| Sunderland | 0.172 |
| Hull City | 0.150 |
| Leicester | 0.136 |
| Swansea | 0.130 |
Crystal Palace continues their dominating defensive form from last season, meanwhile City is 11th (0.102), Liverpool is 12th (0.100), and Man United are dead last (0.057).
Overall Efficiency
| Man City | 0.798 |
| Arsenal | 0.766 |
| Chelsea | 0.749 |
| Everton | 0.746 |
| Liverpool | 0.746 |
The most important of these three numbers taking into account all favorable actions of players (i.e. keeping possession and preventing the other side from scoring). Arsenal is only ranked high here because of their passing, I expect them to fall rapidly as they play sides that focus more on possession-based defence instead of Palace's somewhat suicidal 'mighty fortress' stance.
Chance created value
| Swansea | 0.400 |
| Crystal Palace | 0.333 |
| Chelsea | 0.222 |
| Liverpool | 0.200 |
| Everton | 0.167 |
United is in a ton of trouble if they don't get some help on defence, Swansea has a decent attack but it's no where near the abilities of the top clubs.
Tidbits
- West Ham created the most chances of any side with 13, but failed to score. They also connected on the most crosses with 11, while Tottenham was the only club that was unsuccessful on all their cross attempts, going 0 for 13.
- Arsenal completed the most passes with 640, 89 more than 2nd-most Chelsea, but they attempted the least amount of long balls in 34.
- QPR took the most shots (19) and tied for the most on goal (6) with Arsenal and Southampton, but failed to score.
- Liverpool lead all sides in take-ons with 15.
- Not surprising, even though Howard Webb retired, Man United 'won' the most fouls with 20.
- Only three clubs had multiple assists: Chelsea, Liverpool, and Swansea, all three sides won.
Saturday, August 16, 2014
It's fitting that the Korean 'Gerrard' helps sink Man U
What a glorious way to kick off the Prem. With goals from Ki Sung-yeung and Gylfi Sigurdsson, Swansea took all three points at Old Trafford, winning 2-1. The South Korean is affectionately known as 'Gerrard' and 'Kirrard' by the Asian press, a well-deserved moniker after his performance today. The best part about his goal though is how Wilifred Bony manhandled Phil Jones to make space for Sung-yeung's shot. He tosses the dimwitted defender aside like a limp hot god. It's a thing of beauty.
I wonder what Van Gaal must be thinking now? Mangoloid U dominated possession, completed 87% of their passes, had three times as many shots, and won two-thirds of aerial battles. There's not much more they could have done. I actually feel a little sorry for the Dutchman, if he doesn't get at least one great player in, they are going to be in trouble. Did Herrera even play today? Never mind, I see he committed a couple of fouls.
There's a smile on David Moyes' mug right about now that not even a sledgehammer could crush. Van Gaal took one match to break-in the record book, first time ever in the Prem that United have lost their opening match and the first ever league win for Swansea at Old Trafford. There are 37 more to go though, and you'd have to lower your intelligence level to a Manc not realize United will improve.
Saturday, July 5, 2014
Paul Scholes: clandestine Liverpool fan
The Ginger Prince appears obsessed with the Reds these days, sounding off on our players whenever he can. I would say he's a wind-up muppet, but he's not, most of the time he actually talks sense.
He most recently chimed in on the Luis Suarez transfer saga, questioning whether 'El Conejo Loco' and Messi will be able to play together. “If Luis Suarez does sign for Barcelona from Liverpool, will Lionel Messi ‘accept’ him? Suarez is a centre forward and he won’t want to play out wide. I can’t see Suarez and Messi linking well together,” Scholes wrote on his Paddy Power blog.
He's not afraid to criticize his former club either. On the Shaw transfer, he wrote, 'For a left-back to be worth £34m shows how silly the game has gone. For that money I want a centre-forward who’s going to score 30 goals a season.' Preaching to the choir, my frienemy.
Before the World Cup, he praised 'the Liverpool way' of playing football and challenged the English to emulate it in Brazil. On the subject he wrote, 'It would be refreshing for England to adopt Liverpool’s attacking mentality in Brazil. Really go for it. That means certainly four, and possibly five, Liverpool players in the England starting XI against Italy on June 14' and 'I’d love to see Roy be brave enough to play like Liverpool (or Man United teams of the past).' Glad to see he realizes the glory years of his former club are in the past.
When it comes to Gerrard, he's had nothing but love, stating in the same post, 'Gerrard (a good leader who will have quickly moved on from that slip) has adjusted his game superbly, very much like I did' and 'That’s the big difference between Steven (Gerrard) and Lampard, for example. I’m not sure Lampard has the ability to control a game. He’s always someone who’s up trying to score goals.' You know now he's expecting a nice Christmas present for the Gerrard household.
The best part is he gets a joke in here and there, for instance, 'Defensively Liverpool were poor – conceding 50 goals – but they can be contenders again next year IF they can get two world-class centre halves and a left-back. I’m talking about players of the standard of Jaap Stam and Rio Ferdinand.' Rio Ferdinand, world class!?!? Oh the wit.
It's too bad Scholesy wasted his career on the dark side. He should have went to Italy or Spain, where he's actually more appreciated and wouldn't have played in the shadows of bigger personalities. No matter what, I've never desired him to play for Liverpool and he has never been better than Gerrard.
He most recently chimed in on the Luis Suarez transfer saga, questioning whether 'El Conejo Loco' and Messi will be able to play together. “If Luis Suarez does sign for Barcelona from Liverpool, will Lionel Messi ‘accept’ him? Suarez is a centre forward and he won’t want to play out wide. I can’t see Suarez and Messi linking well together,” Scholes wrote on his Paddy Power blog.
He's not afraid to criticize his former club either. On the Shaw transfer, he wrote, 'For a left-back to be worth £34m shows how silly the game has gone. For that money I want a centre-forward who’s going to score 30 goals a season.' Preaching to the choir, my frienemy.
Before the World Cup, he praised 'the Liverpool way' of playing football and challenged the English to emulate it in Brazil. On the subject he wrote, 'It would be refreshing for England to adopt Liverpool’s attacking mentality in Brazil. Really go for it. That means certainly four, and possibly five, Liverpool players in the England starting XI against Italy on June 14' and 'I’d love to see Roy be brave enough to play like Liverpool (or Man United teams of the past).' Glad to see he realizes the glory years of his former club are in the past.
When it comes to Gerrard, he's had nothing but love, stating in the same post, 'Gerrard (a good leader who will have quickly moved on from that slip) has adjusted his game superbly, very much like I did' and 'That’s the big difference between Steven (Gerrard) and Lampard, for example. I’m not sure Lampard has the ability to control a game. He’s always someone who’s up trying to score goals.' You know now he's expecting a nice Christmas present for the Gerrard household.
The best part is he gets a joke in here and there, for instance, 'Defensively Liverpool were poor – conceding 50 goals – but they can be contenders again next year IF they can get two world-class centre halves and a left-back. I’m talking about players of the standard of Jaap Stam and Rio Ferdinand.' Rio Ferdinand, world class!?!? Oh the wit.
It's too bad Scholesy wasted his career on the dark side. He should have went to Italy or Spain, where he's actually more appreciated and wouldn't have played in the shadows of bigger personalities. No matter what, I've never desired him to play for Liverpool and he has never been better than Gerrard.
Tuesday, July 1, 2014
Southampton must be laughing all the way to the bank
What a terrible bit of business. Buying Lallana for a reported £27m may end up being worse than United buying Herrera for £32m. He wasn't even the most efficient attacking midfielder at Southampton last season and furthermore he didn't separate himself enough from his teammates to justify his price tag.
Gaston Ramirez who played sparsely due to falling out of favor with Pochettino and injuries comes out on top. Lallana comes second, but only barely ahead of Rodriguez & Steven Davis. If Lallana is worth £27m, Rodriguez is worth at least that much being he is 2 years younger and Steven Davis should not be sold for anything less than £20m. And what about 19-year-old James Ward-Prose? He is already a better passer and turns over the ball much less at 7 years Lallana's junior. He's got to be worth £50m to Man United and at least £30m to the rest of the Prem.
Those numbers above are not worth £27 and the argument that it is because 'he's English' just proves my point. He's a product of the English press hype machine. We paid £8.8m for Coutinho, less than one-third what we did for Lallana, the Brazilian is still only 22-years-old and already a better player. Basically we just paid that much for someone to keep the seats warm for Gerrard, Hendo, Sterling, Can, and Coutinho.
| Lallana | Rodriguez | Davis | Ward-Prose | Ramirez | |
| age | 26 | 24 | 29 | 19 | 23 |
| app (sub) | 37(1) | 30(3) | 28(6) | 16(18) | 3(15) |
| mins | 3082 | 2561 | 2492 | 1616 | 526 |
| goals | 9 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| assists | 6 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 3 |
| chances | 68 | 20 | 57 | 39 | 14 |
| npg90 | 0.26 | 0.53 | 0.07 | 0 | 0.17 |
| gcp90 | 0.44 | 0.63 | 0.32 | 0.11 | 0.69 |
| ccp90 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.4 |
| ap90 | 0.21 | 0.11 | 0.25 | 0.11 | 0.52 |
| ccv | 11.1 | 14.3 | 11.9 | 5 | 21.7 |
| pass % | 84.6 | 76.6 | 84.3 | 87.2 | 80.9 |
| bp % | 50.3 | 49 | 42.4 | 43.6 | 38.9 |
| sacc % | 41.4 | 31.7 | 21.8 | 35 | 23.8 |
| shot % | 18 | 14.9 | 6 | 0 | 4.8 |
| TTI90 | 13.9 | 12.9 | 13.2 | 9.2 | 19.5 |
| avg rk | 2.9 | 3 | 3.1 | 3.3 | 2.6 |
Gaston Ramirez who played sparsely due to falling out of favor with Pochettino and injuries comes out on top. Lallana comes second, but only barely ahead of Rodriguez & Steven Davis. If Lallana is worth £27m, Rodriguez is worth at least that much being he is 2 years younger and Steven Davis should not be sold for anything less than £20m. And what about 19-year-old James Ward-Prose? He is already a better passer and turns over the ball much less at 7 years Lallana's junior. He's got to be worth £50m to Man United and at least £30m to the rest of the Prem.
Those numbers above are not worth £27 and the argument that it is because 'he's English' just proves my point. He's a product of the English press hype machine. We paid £8.8m for Coutinho, less than one-third what we did for Lallana, the Brazilian is still only 22-years-old and already a better player. Basically we just paid that much for someone to keep the seats warm for Gerrard, Hendo, Sterling, Can, and Coutinho.
Monday, June 30, 2014
How much will United pay for Dirk Kuyt?
After dishing out ridiculous sums for turnover prone 25-year-old, Ander Herrera, and the nemesis of Victor Moses, Luke Shaw, they are now linked to splash the cash for soon-to-be 34-year-old former 'Liverpool Legend', Dirk Kuyt. I use 'legend' in the loosest sense there, but Kuyt is much more deserving than say, Roy Hodgson.
Dirk Kuyt's evolution as a footballer is interesting to say the least. At FC Utrecht and especially Feyenoord in the Eredivisie, he was a poacher, a goal-scoring machine. Unfortunately, he didn't have the pace to translate his finishing skills in the Prem and had to change his approach if he wanted to survive. So he became a more complete player, a blue collar one mind you, but good enough to earn a starting place as a supporting striker. His determination to stay and fight for a place at Liverpool after a disappointing first season instead of returning to the Eridivise where he could have easily reverted back to his prolific poaching ways was a testament to his character.
In his first season at Liverpool, he had one assist in 34 appearances, in his second he had 8 in 32. In his final three seasons he had a chance created per 90 of 1.79, but it was not just his ability to make important passes that improved, he became a defensive forward, if one ever existed. From 2009-2012, he averaged 1.91 tackles per 90 and 1.56 int per 90, for perspective, during that same period, Rooney contributed 0.63 tp90 and 0.42 intp90, a massive difference.
His latest rebirth as a left wing back for the Netherlands in the World Cup apparently has spurned Van Gaal into thinking about taking him to United when the Dutch coach starts his term there. If I can say so sans punishment, playing the heavy-footed Kuyt at that position actually is a genius move, it takes advantage of his strengths and less exposes his weaknesses. His contributions have been solid on both ends of the pitch and the coverage he provides for Daley Blind is pricelesss, but will it translate in the Prem?
The potential big winner here is Fenerbache. With United willing to pay double and triple a player's valuation, the Turkish club could possibly get £10m for a player they bought for £880,000.
Dirk Kuyt's evolution as a footballer is interesting to say the least. At FC Utrecht and especially Feyenoord in the Eredivisie, he was a poacher, a goal-scoring machine. Unfortunately, he didn't have the pace to translate his finishing skills in the Prem and had to change his approach if he wanted to survive. So he became a more complete player, a blue collar one mind you, but good enough to earn a starting place as a supporting striker. His determination to stay and fight for a place at Liverpool after a disappointing first season instead of returning to the Eridivise where he could have easily reverted back to his prolific poaching ways was a testament to his character.
In his first season at Liverpool, he had one assist in 34 appearances, in his second he had 8 in 32. In his final three seasons he had a chance created per 90 of 1.79, but it was not just his ability to make important passes that improved, he became a defensive forward, if one ever existed. From 2009-2012, he averaged 1.91 tackles per 90 and 1.56 int per 90, for perspective, during that same period, Rooney contributed 0.63 tp90 and 0.42 intp90, a massive difference.
His latest rebirth as a left wing back for the Netherlands in the World Cup apparently has spurned Van Gaal into thinking about taking him to United when the Dutch coach starts his term there. If I can say so sans punishment, playing the heavy-footed Kuyt at that position actually is a genius move, it takes advantage of his strengths and less exposes his weaknesses. His contributions have been solid on both ends of the pitch and the coverage he provides for Daley Blind is pricelesss, but will it translate in the Prem?
The potential big winner here is Fenerbache. With United willing to pay double and triple a player's valuation, the Turkish club could possibly get £10m for a player they bought for £880,000.
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